Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 189.053865 218.402285 251.774624 292.733711 341.923328 399.437271 472.272580
2025-09-21 147.481857 184.189687 230.073985 292.402095 376.039627 486.104144 644.801509
2025-09-28 124.626520 164.264076 217.210407 294.594976 407.370563 569.894030 829.806008
2025-10-05 113.824414 156.913386 217.778591 312.526765 461.032658 693.405717 1102.848780
2025-10-12 105.296054 150.770944 218.145815 328.943349 514.210320 826.660729 1429.624527
2025-10-19 94.290259 139.114264 208.093158 326.671406 535.787449 911.376461 1695.392665
2025-10-26 87.602229 132.987390 205.421031 335.431686 577.106996 1039.635168 2086.843332
2025-11-02 80.959360 125.988203 200.180401 338.542208 608.224045 1155.291278 2492.181732
2025-11-09 75.550788 120.303395 196.263937 343.130814 642.667324 1285.726590 2981.515272
2025-11-16 70.272071 114.202949 190.772770 343.720723 668.864985 1404.665094 3490.830116
2025-11-23 65.382874 108.235897 184.750534 342.231707 690.170141 1517.716456 4034.028692
2025-11-30 62.050023 104.673683 182.687611 348.316346 729.363524 1685.009930 4821.195893
2025-12-07 56.134650 96.222312 171.160950 334.567401 723.975575 1747.438024 5345.954481
2025-12-14 52.316907 91.346178 166.111660 334.306060 752.150738 1913.859960 6359.672691
2025-12-21 49.224618 87.506040 162.617593 336.890682 788.276901 2117.296692 7675.603885
2025-12-28 48.160313 87.464570 166.825722 357.964997 879.014171 2527.138081 10256.447345
2026-01-04 46.955797 86.995609 170.046683 377.292196 970.793493 2985.363000 13604.458947
2026-01-11 44.103746 82.870665 164.831096 374.615555 997.261098 3223.901634 16055.134356
2026-01-18 42.469438 81.113266 164.649328 384.939629 1067.148655 3665.552936 20398.878183
2026-01-25 40.508163 78.469258 162.131673 388.607544 1116.958210 4053.915438 25037.649382
2026-02-01 38.818493 76.252018 160.346509 394.020425 1174.722253 4512.733981 31141.416745
2026-02-08 36.980849 73.542765 157.086086 394.716476 1216.466461 4924.370616 37767.679793
2026-02-15 35.153623 70.699671 153.195434 392.959619 1249.140443 5314.427723 45198.573762